Tag Archives: Economy

Why Nakumatt struggles as Capital Shoppers and others thrive


While browsing the Twittersphere, I came across a thread in which the issue of Nakumatt Supermarket’s limping performance in Uganda was being discussed viz a viz local Ugandan Supermarkets.

Ms. Nancy Kacungira loudly wondered what the likes of Capital Shoppers are doing right to stay in business to which the renowned economic affairs analyst Dr. Ramathan Ggoobi duly responded by stating, “Alot. Location, good supply chain management (high fill rate), and damn, I’ll say it …. loyal ‘sectarian’ clientele.”gobbi_tweet

The last part of his submission is what I didn’t find worthwhile. So, as a supplier of supermarkets, I went ahead to respond as follows, “They pay us well and promptly. Including Quality (Supermarket). I find the assertion of “sectarian clientele” as lame reasoning by @rggoobi.”wire_response

Its eight years since I started supplying supermarkets with products and this has given me some time to appreciate the business. A supermarket is no different from a warehouse where suppliers bring their products for onward sale to customers. The only difference is that Supermarkets have to invest in a few things that make the shopping experience of a customer conducive. Their key issues of concern are usually branding, location, management systems, market identification and interior décor.

The success of a supermarket is hinged on three core factors as indicated in the illustration below.Supermarket_Success

When Uchumi joined the Ugandan supermarket space over ten years ago, they heralded a new era that saw them take supermarket branding to a new level all together. The supermarket enjoyed market leadership overnight, largely a result of the corporate buzz created whenever anything new is launched as well as the significant presence of Kenyan professionals in Kampala. Nakumatt followed suit years later and it too caught the attention of the Ugandan market by launching 24 hour shopping services. Within a short while, it had grown and surpassed Uchumi as well as other leading local supermarkets like Quality and Capital Shoppers.

During all this time, the local supermarkets must have been learning serious lessons from these foreign entrants. Nakumatt, Uchumi and Tuskys, all Kenyan supermarkets by origin had the money, systems, branding and rode on the wave of a significant presence of Kenyans in Uganda to kickstart their business. They also won over many Ugandan shoppers and a simple way to tell that is by studying various suppliers’ delivery schedules that largely rotated around these supermarkets.

So, the factors Dr. Ramathan Ggoobi attributed the success of Capital Shoppers to like Location were definitely considered by the likes of Nakumatt. Take a look at Nakumatt’s branches at Oasis Mall, Bukoto, Entebbe, Mbarara, Bugolobi (although they goofed up by placing another branch at Village Mall in the same vicinity). Consider Uchumi’s branches that existed at Garden City, Nateete, Freedom City, Kabalagala and Gulu. They were well thought out and always outcompeted neighbouring supermarkets. But somehow, they went bust. Uchumi is now spoken of in the past tense having fled with Billions of Shillings owed to local suppliers. Nakumatt is in intensive care unit, trying so hard to stay alive and relevant. How did they get to this?

I will rule out the economy because the same economy is where you find other thriving supermarkets like Capital Shoppers, Quality Supermarket, Mega Standard, Ssombe Supermarket, City Shoppers Supermarket, Senana, Cynibell among others. The customers are still existent considering that they are the very ones patronising the currently well performing supermarkets.

In my view and as a supplier, the one aspect of the business that these supermarkets did ignore and are now paying heavily for is the Supply Side (read as Stock in the diagram shared earlier). This is in tandem with Dr. Ggoobi’s point on good supply chain management.

A supermarket’s shelves are what they are because of the goods that suppliers diligently avail for sale. Without these goods being supplied, they remain empty and useless to any consumer. Most supermarket suppliers never get credit from their raw material suppliers prior to producing products for the supermarket. However, when it comes to supplying the supermarket, they are required to do so on credit. The credit terms range from a few weeks to two months. Consider that often times, the supermarket pushes the supplier to offer significant discounts which are hardly passed on to consumers. In essence, the supermarket receives an interest free loan since after sale, they can still re-use the supplier’s money on other activities of their choice.

Suppliers are usually resilient and able to patiently wait until the due dates promised for payment. Sometimes, the due date is not honored by some supermarkets and suppliers have to make multiple attempts and trips to get paid. This is where the likes of Uchumi, Nakumatt and Tuskys went wrong. They knew that being “large” and “credible” players in the market, the suppliers were at their mercy. Wrong!!! This perception might have been true for a while but as word spread through the networks of suppliers about their financial dishonesty, one by one, we begun pulling out of making supplies. Eventually, the shelves begun starving of our products and customers started noticing. This proved one thing, suppliers are as important as the consumers.

Another aspect is the shoppers’ psychology. The reason a good number of urban dwelling Ugandans abandoned the small shops in preference for Supermarkets was the ability to find everything they needed in one place and at a competitive price. This expectation can only be met when the supply chain is very fluid. So, by letting down their suppliers, these supermarkets once again exposed themselves and could hardly meet this expectation. End result? Customers begun gravitating towards alternative supermarkets that fulfilled this need. Take the case of a battered Uchumi, in its last days at Garden City mall, Capital Shoppers opened up a branch right below Uchumi’s premises and within no time, it was attracting a much bigger crowd. A relative of mine once intimated to me that he was fed up of going to that Uchumi branch due to the lack of a wide range of goods for sale. He felt so relieved when Capital Shoppers opened up. This too further cements the supply chain factor.

Now, back to the insinuation by Dr. Ggoobi that Capital Shoppers is thriving because of a “loyal ‘secterian’ clientele.If indeed this is worth noting as a reason, does it also imply that Nakumatt’s failures are attributed to the sudden absence or exit of a loyal sectarian (Kenyan) clientele? It is an open secret that Kenyans loved patronising Uchumi, Nakumatt and Tuskys. These very Kenyans are still around and their numbers have probably grown. Why is it that these three supermarkets have either closed or are limping in this market?

I do shop a lot at Capital Shoppers and Quality Supermarket but have not seen any sectarian tendencies in their clientele. I would be hard pressed to point out that the majority of shoppers “appear” to come from one region of the country.

Lets face it, the Kenyan supermarkets came in with a lot of SWAG and knew they would steamroll the local market in a bullish manner. While they appeared to be scoring early successes in this regard, their local counterparts used that time to re-invent themselves and learn a few things from the competition. The founders of Capital Shoppers and Quality Supermarket are very hardworking modest living Ugandans who started off in very humble ways. Their continued success even during this trying time of the economy can be largely attributed to the respect they accord their suppliers as well as being able to continuously learn and unlearn.

James Wire is a Small Business and Technology Consultant based in Kampala, Uganda

Follow @wirejames on Twitter.

Email lunghabo [at] gmail [dot] com

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Good African Coffee Closure. Is Uganda’s economy on Auto Pilot?


Andrew Rugasira is no saint, however one thing I can authoritatively say about him is that he is a resilient entrepreneur who always turns ashes into beauty. Many years back, I recall him running a prominent promotions company called VR Promotions which bit the dust. He was humble enough to go into hibernation only to re-emerge a couple of years later with Good African Coffee.

When I bought the newspapers of the 25th of April 2017, I was taken back upon reading a story about how the tax man had closed down his business for tax arrears of UGX 1.2 Billion.

On the 23rd of April 2017, Ian Ortega posted a mind opening article on Facebook in which among others he stated, “… We pride in building mansions in our villages in a sea of mud and wattle houses. And in the end we pay for it with insecurity, with deaths. It makes no sense to have majority poor and few rich. It always backfires… Start doing something to make sure the economy works for everyone regardless of their field. Let it work for a musician, for an artist, for an engineer, for the teacher etc. That is how you build sustainable societies.

Having interacted one on one with Mr Rugasira a year back, I got to know quite abit about his ethos. While he is a hard nosed businessman, his passion for equitable growth and development is worth admiring.

Businesses close for various reasons and their closure has varying impacts on the economy. There are businesses whose closure will largely cause ripples among a few selected elites (who tend to be the noise makers) while others have the Fall Army Worm effect of distorting the bottom of the pyramid poor.

According to the New Vision, Good African Coffee has a network of more than 14,000 coffee farmers and has facilitated the set up of 17 (Seventeen savings and credit organisations) for these farming communities. The average household in Uganda has 5 members. This implies that if each coffee farmer is equivalent to one household, then the direct impact of his investment at this micro level has a reach of at least 70,000 people. Considering that in Uganda, it’s part of our culture for a household head to help various extended family members especially economically, we can safely assume that each farmer has an impact on 10 (ten) people in the extended family bracket. This implies that upto 140,000 people indirectly benefit from Good African as a result. On average we can safely state that at least 200,000 people from the coffee growing region are beneficiaries.

The New Vision further stated that the Good African products are available in over 700 UK Supermarkets as well as 500 stores in Africa. As a supermarket patron, I have come to learn that products on those shelves serve not only the purpose of consumer consumption but also national branding. How many people today in the UK swear by Good African Coffee? Judging by the inquisitive nature of today’s shopper, chances are high many have got to learn more about Uganda in the process. What better marketing for our nation?

While I am inclined to believe that management issues have definitely contributed to the status-quo, it’s quite sad that the tax man would be left to execute such a closure without proper appreciation of its wider implications. The Uganda Revenue Authority is not to blame since it is merely an execution agency tasked with collecting revenue for the Government. However, with all the tax breaks we keep hearing being directed to questionable foreign investors, why would a legitimately Ugandan owned and home grown business fail to be extended help? We just heard about the planned UGX 77 Billion tax relief that a number of companies whose list is led by the Sudanese owned AYA Group of Companies are likely to get. In my view, the footprint Good African Coffee has is much wider than AYA and any of those companies on the bail out list yet above all it impacts the lowly farmer whose sole hope for survival is farming.

We always hear of decisions being made in National Interest and this is what Hon. David Bahati, the State Minister of Finance for Planning emphasised while meeting Parliamentarians over the AYA bail out. Why was Good African overlooked?

  • Is it because the latter promotes the well being of peasants and there is this general fear among the political elite of genuinely empowering them?

  • Could it be that Rugasira doesn’t have the right brokers to argue out his case before the high and mighty in the Ministry of Finance?

We have been led to believe that overnight business moguls who set up with Shopping malls out of the blue are the ones that deserve respect and propping in order to keep our economy afloat but if we do not babysit the Rugasiras of Uganda and ensure that their businesses succeed at all costs, we shall continue in the cyclic rat race characterised by chronic poverty. Government should sit down Andrew Rugasira, make it clear to him that the success of his business is a national priority and could even have security implications considering that a large section of the farmers are from the already troubled Rwenzori region who might perceive matters differently. The riot act should be read out to him before working out bail out terms and conditions.

PS: In case you are comfortably employed with a regular salary and high flying MBA, you might have a problem appreciating the challenges genuine entrepreneurs go through in this Ugandan economy of ours. One day though, I hope you will be around long enough to appreciate what goes on the other side of the bridge.

I say, Bail Out the Brother !!!!!!

[UPDATE: Two days after publishing this aricle, Good African Coffee was reopened. I thank the authorities for having exercised a sense of sobriety. Now the ball is in Rugasira’s court to ensure he complies as required. ]

James Wire is a Small Business and Technology Consultant based in Kampala, Uganda

Follow @wirejames on Twitter.

Email lunghabo [at] gmail [dot] com

See a great reading resource on Coffee here

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